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Travel recovery in the Pacific: worrying signs
As the pandemic recedes and gradually fades from people’s memories, travel in the Pacific is rebounding. However, the Pacific’s travel recovery is highly variable.
Comparing visitor arrivals in 2023 with those in 2019 (Figure 1 below), it looks like Vanuatu is the biggest winner, but this is misleading. Vanuatu has experienced a surge in cruise tourism, with the number of cruise arrivals nearly doubling from 2019 to 2023 and reaching more than three times the number of air arrivals in 2023. However, cruise tourism in Vanuatu has been “fickle and volatile”. It can strain limited labour resources and generates much less revenue than tourism by air. In 2019, though there were 40% more cruise tourists than air tourists, air tourists generated roughly nine times as much revenue. Meanwhile, Vanuatu’s air tourism arrivals have only recovered to 70% of their pre-COVID levels, with total air arrivals in 2023 at just 64% of 2019 levels.
Fiji has done well to achieve 4% growth from its already high pre-pandemic travel numbers. Holiday arrivals, which constituted over 70% of total arrivals in 2019, experienced a substantial increase of 12% over the same period. Other market segments are still lagging though, attracting only 82% of their pre-COVID visitor levels.
Samoa has also done well with 2023 arrivals only 3% below the 2019 level.
Solomon Islands and Tonga have visitor arrivals nearing but still significantly below pre-COVID levels, with recoveries of 90% and 87% respectively. Solomon Islands benefited from its hosting of the Pacific Games last year. If its November arrivals had been at the average level for the other months of the year, then its 2023 arrivals would have only been 70% of 2019 levels.
That leaves PNG and Palau. PNG is at only 68% of its pre-COVID air arrivals level, and Palau is struggling with just 44%.
To explain Palau’s poor performance, we need to look at the source countries. While visitor numbers from Australia and New Zealand to the region have fully rebounded to pre-COVID levels, visitors from Asian countries have been slow to return. Overall, the total number of visitors from Asia to the seven countries that we have data for has decreased by 44%, with Palau and Vanuatu experiencing particularly steep declines of 67% and 55% respectively. This downturn is particularly significant for Palau, where visitors from Asia accounted for 82% of total visitors in 2019. In contrast, other Pacific countries attract more visitors from Australia and New Zealand. In Fiji, there were 67,513 more Australian visitors in 2023 than 2019, which more than filled the gap left by a reduced number of tourists from Asia.
Papua New Guinea is a special case (see Figure 2). Its slow recovery is evident across all source countries and purposes of travel, with 2023 arrivals at 62% (business), 77% (employment), 64% (air tourism) and 61% (cruise tourism) of their 2019 levels. If we look at air arrivals only, 2023 volumes are back at 2007 or 2008 levels. 2007 was at the start of PNG’s air arrival boom, which ended in 2014. Air arrivals have been falling since, so this is not just about the pandemic. Flight disruptions due to fuel rationing, outbreaks of violence and riots, delayed resource projects and a generally depressed business environment have all deterred travellers.

Businesses, governments and NGOs learned to get by without travel during the pandemic, so it is perhaps not surprising that total travel has not fully recovered. And from a climate point of view, the less air travel the better. But the fall-off in air travel is problematic for the Pacific region if it means less tourism and depressed business conditions. From that point of view, there are some very worrying signs from this travel data for a number of economies, especially Palau, PNG and Vanuatu.
Disclosure: This research was supported by the Pacific Research Program, with funding from the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. The views are those of the authors only.
This article appeared first on Devpolicy Blog (devpolicy.org), from the Development Policy Centre at The Australian National University.
Huiyuan (Sharon) Liu is a research officer at the Development Policy Centre, working in the area of economic development.
Stephen Howes is Director of the Development Policy Centre and Professor of Economics at the Crawford School of Public Policy at The Australian National University.

TPA Launches 30th Enga Cultural Festival
The Papua New Guinea Tourism Promotion Authority (TPA) officially launched the Enga Cultural Festival on Friday 9th August in Wabag, Enga Province.
The festival, renowned for celebrating the rich culture of Enga Province, marked a significant milestone this year with its 30th Anniversary.
Honourable Sir Peter Ipatas, Governor of Enga Province, expressed his gratitude for TPA’s continued support.
“I’d like to thank TPA for its continued support throughout the years, making this annual cultural festival one of the best in the country,” said Sir Ipatas.
TPA’s CEO, Eric Mossman Uvovo highlighted the importance of the festival in reflecting the cultural richness of the Enga people.
“The people of Enga have been through a lot in the past few years, and it is always beautiful to see the vibrant culture of the Enga people come alive through this annual event,” said Uvovo.
Uvovo also emphasized the importance of preserving cultural heritage.
“Shows such as this remind us of our proud culture, and it’s always an honour to see so many young faces proudly dressed in their traditional attire and showing their culture,” said Uvovo.
From Friday 9th to Saturday 10th August, the Enga Cultural Festival showcased a weekend of more than 30 different unique traditional performances, vibrant displays of traditional rituals, traditional craft & artifacts, floral displays and community spirit, reinforcing its reputation as one of the country’s most celebrated cultural events.
























